@ 1 date 2 NBER (revised in xls) Recession/Recovery Turning Points (-1's changed to 0's) 3 "Real Gross Domestic Product (SAAR,Bil.Chn.96$)" 4 "Money Stock: M2 (SA, Bil.$)" 5 3-Month Treasury Bills (% p.a.) 6 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield at Constant Maturity (% p.a.) 7 10-Year T-Bond less 3-Month T-Bill 8 "Gross Domestic Product: Chain Price Index (SA, 1996=100)" @ 19681 0 3406.2 530.3 5.06 5.61 0.55 25.86 19682 0 3464.8 539.1 5.51 5.74 0.24 26.15 19683 0 3489.2 549.5 5.22 5.46 0.24 26.39 19684 0 3504.1 562.3 5.58 5.77 0.19 26.76 19691 0 3558.3 571.9 6.14 6.18 0.04 27.02 19692 0 3567.6 576.9 6.24 6.35 0.11 27.39 19693 0 3588.3 580.6 7.05 6.86 -0.19 27.79 19694 0 3571.4 585.6 7.32 7.30 -0.02 28.15 19701 1 3566.5 587.7 7.26 7.37 0.11 28.54 19702 1 3573.9 591.7 6.75 7.71 0.96 28.94 19703 1 3605.2 605.2 6.37 7.46 1.09 29.17 19704 1 3566.5 621.3 5.36 6.85 1.49 29.55 19711 0 3666.1 641.2 3.86 6.02 2.16 30.00 19712 0 3686.2 666.0 4.21 6.25 2.04 30.40 19713 0 3714.5 686.1 5.05 6.48 1.43 30.71 19714 0 3723.8 704.3 4.23 5.89 1.66 30.96 19721 0 3796.9 725.5 3.43 6.03 2.60 31.42 19722 0 3883.8 743.8 3.75 6.14 2.40 31.61 19723 0 3922.3 769.1 4.24 6.29 2.05 31.92 19724 0 3990.5 794.3 4.85 6.37 1.52 32.30 19731 0 4092.3 813.1 5.64 6.60 0.96 32.73 19732 0 4133.3 826.6 6.61 6.81 0.20 33.27 19733 0 4117.0 838.5 8.39 7.21 -1.18 33.90 19734 1 4151.1 848.9 7.46 6.75 -0.71 34.48 19741 1 4119.3 864.5 7.60 7.05 -0.55 35.18 19742 1 4130.4 875.1 8.27 7.54 -0.72 35.97 19743 1 4084.5 885.0 8.28 7.96 -0.32 37.07 19744 1 4062.0 898.2 7.33 7.67 0.34 38.20 19751 1 4010.0 915.3 5.87 7.54 1.67 39.08 19752 0 4045.2 949.0 5.40 8.05 2.65 39.63 19753 0 4115.4 984.1 6.33 8.30 1.96 40.35 19754 0 4167.2 1007.3 5.68 8.06 2.38 41.05 19761 0 4266.1 1039.2 4.95 7.75 2.80 41.49 19762 0 4301.5 1070.7 5.17 7.77 2.60 41.93 19763 0 4321.9 1099.7 5.17 7.73 2.56 42.51 19764 0 4357.4 1138.9 4.70 7.19 2.49 43.25 19771 0 4410.5 1177.4 4.62 7.35 2.73 43.97 19772 0 4489.8 1209.4 4.83 7.37 2.54 44.69 19773 0 4570.6 1238.1 5.47 7.36 1.88 45.32 19774 0 4576.1 1262.8 6.14 7.60 1.46 46.08 19781 0 4588.9 1286.3 6.41 8.01 1.60 46.86 19782 0 4765.7 1310.6 6.48 8.32 1.84 47.79 19783 0 4811.7 1335.8 7.32 8.49 1.17 48.64 19784 0 4876.0 1359.9 8.68 8.82 0.14 49.62 19791 0 4888.3 1379.7 9.36 9.11 -0.25 50.58 19792 0 4891.4 1412.8 9.37 9.11 -0.26 51.73 19793 0 4926.2 1446.9 9.63 9.10 -0.53 52.79 19794 0 4942.6 1467.5 11.80 10.45 -1.36 53.86 19801 1 4958.9 1493.2 13.46 11.99 -1.47 55.08 19802 1 4857.8 1515.9 10.05 10.48 0.43 56.35 19803 1 4850.3 1562.3 9.24 10.95 1.72 57.62 19804 0 4936.6 1594.3 13.71 12.42 -1.29 59.16 19811 0 5032.5 1621.7 14.37 12.96 -1.41 60.67 19812 0 4997.3 1666.1 14.83 13.75 -1.08 61.75 19813 1 5056.8 1696.2 15.09 14.85 -0.24 62.95 19814 1 4997.1 1738.8 12.02 14.09 2.06 64.10 19821 1 4914.3 1778.2 12.89 14.29 1.40 65.00 19822 1 4935.5 1816.9 12.36 13.93 1.57 65.84 19823 1 4912.1 1851.4 9.71 13.11 3.41 66.75 19824 1 4915.6 1892.3 7.93 10.67 2.73 67.44 19831 0 4972.4 1995.4 8.08 10.56 2.48 67.98 19832 0 5089.8 2047.0 8.42 10.54 2.13 68.59 19833 0 5180.4 2079.8 9.18 11.63 2.44 69.17 19834 0 5286.8 2116.2 8.79 11.69 2.89 69.75 19841 0 5402.3 2161.7 9.13 11.94 2.81 70.59 19842 0 5493.8 2208.8 9.84 13.20 3.36 71.18 19843 0 5541.3 2239.2 10.34 12.87 2.52 71.74 19844 0 5583.1 2287.8 8.97 11.74 2.77 72.24 19851 0 5629.7 2355.5 8.18 11.58 3.40 73.01 19852 0 5673.8 2398.3 7.52 10.81 3.29 73.49 19853 0 5758.6 2450.7 7.10 10.34 3.23 73.88 19854 0 5806.0 2485.0 7.15 9.76 2.61 74.40 19861 0 5858.9 2520.9 6.89 8.56 1.67 74.69 19862 0 5883.3 2588.5 6.13 7.60 1.47 75.04 19863 0 5937.9 2655.2 5.53 7.31 1.77 75.51 19864 0 5969.5 2712.5 5.34 7.26 1.92 76.05 19871 0 6013.3 2754.3 5.53 7.19 1.66 76.73 19872 0 6077.2 2778.4 5.73 8.34 2.61 77.27 19873 0 6128.1 2797.4 6.03 8.88 2.84 77.83 19874 0 6234.4 2827.0 6.00 9.12 3.12 78.46 19881 0 6275.9 2876.8 5.76 8.42 2.66 78.99 19882 0 6349.8 2932.8 6.23 8.91 2.68 79.79 19883 0 6382.3 2962.4 6.99 9.10 2.11 80.73 19884 0 6465.2 2987.0 7.70 8.96 1.25 81.36 19891 0 6543.8 3003.3 8.53 9.21 0.68 82.20 19892 0 6579.4 3024.2 8.44 8.77 0.33 83.02 19893 0 6610.6 3083.7 7.85 8.11 0.26 83.62 19894 0 6633.5 3142.9 7.63 7.91 0.28 84.24 19901 0 6716.3 3186.6 7.76 8.42 0.67 85.19 19902 0 6731.7 3214.0 7.77 8.68 0.91 86.17 19903 1 6719.4 3250.3 7.49 8.70 1.21 87.00 19904 1 6664.2 3273.7 7.02 8.40 1.37 87.76 19911 1 6631.4 3313.7 6.05 8.02 1.96 88.78 19912 0 6668.5 3351.1 5.59 8.13 2.54 89.41 19913 0 6684.9 3365.1 5.41 7.94 2.53 89.99 19914 0 6720.9 3374.3 4.58 7.35 2.76 90.47 19921 0 6783.3 3404.3 3.91 7.30 3.39 91.16 19922 0 6846.8 3407.9 3.72 7.38 3.65 91.68 19923 0 6899.7 3413.5 3.13 6.62 3.49 91.98 19924 0 6990.6 3436.0 3.08 6.74 3.67 92.56 19931 0 6988.7 3427.7 2.99 6.28 3.29 93.33 19932 0 7031.2 3444.6 2.98 5.99 3.01 93.83 19933 0 7062.0 3463.2 3.02 5.62 2.60 94.26 19934 0 7168.7 3483.0 3.08 5.61 2.53 94.79 19941 0 7229.4 3496.4 3.25 6.07 2.82 95.28 19942 0 7330.2 3504.2 4.04 7.08 3.05 95.72 19943 0 7370.2 3505.2 4.51 7.33 2.82 96.29 19944 0 7461.1 3504.0 5.28 7.84 2.55 96.74 19951 0 7488.7 3509.0 5.78 7.48 1.70 97.45 19952 0 7503.3 3542.2 5.62 6.62 1.00 97.86 19953 0 7561.4 3605.8 5.38 6.32 0.94 98.31 19954 0 7621.9 3640.1 5.27 5.89 0.62 98.79 19961 0 7676.4 3684.5 4.95 5.91 0.96 99.40 19962 0 7802.9 3729.6 5.04 6.72 1.68 99.74 19963 0 7841.9 3766.5 5.14 6.78 1.64 100.23 19964 0 7931.3 3804.1 4.97 6.34 1.37 100.63 19971 0 8016.4 3849.0 5.06 6.56 1.50 101.36 19972 0 8131.9 3895.5 5.07 6.70 1.62 101.82 19973 0 8216.6 3957.5 5.06 6.24 1.19 102.12 19974 0 8272.9 4019.3 5.09 5.91 0.82 102.49 19981 0 8404.9 4096.9 5.08 5.59 0.51 102.75 19982 0 8465.6 4174.5 5.01 5.60 0.59 103.04 19983 0 8537.6 4247.6 4.88 5.20 0.32 103.42 19984 0 8654.5 4360.9 4.31 4.67 0.36 103.69 19991 0 8730.0 4442.7 4.42 4.98 0.56 104.25 19992 0 8783.2 4510.0 4.46 5.54 1.08 104.63 19993 0 8905.8 4570.9 4.70 5.88 1.19 104.90 19994 0 9084.1 4630.3 5.06 6.14 1.08 105.31 20001 0 9191.8 4700.6 5.54 6.48 0.94 106.17 20002 0 9318.9 4774.5 5.78 6.18 0.40 106.80 20003 0 9373.5 4838.0 6.01 5.89 -0.12 107.31