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by TomDoan
Mon Feb 02, 2026 5:50 pm
Forum: Newsletters
Topic: January 2026 Newsletter
Replies: 0
Views: 727

January 2026 Newsletter

Jan2026RATSLetter.pdf
(216.5 KiB) Downloaded 59 times
Main Topics
  • RATS Version 11.1
  • RATS e-courses now available at no charge
  • OECD Download now available
  • RATS on RePEc
by TomDoan
Thu Jan 29, 2026 11:03 am
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: DECO GARCH error
Replies: 1
Views: 701

Re: DECO GARCH error

You can do the whole extra calculation with the single instruction: gset hcov %regstart() %regend() = %mqform(%cvtocorr(q),%diag(%xt(vol,t))) The problem was with trying to do a COMPUTE on a single element of HCOV without the range of the SERIES[SYMM] ever having been set. GSET takes care of that. (...
by TomDoan
Sun Jan 25, 2026 9:39 pm
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: garchmvbootstrap.rpf
Replies: 53
Views: 50061

Re: garchmvbootstrap.rpf

ac_1 wrote: Sun Jan 25, 2026 1:09 pm acKupiecBlockBoot.src is wrong, can it be fixed?
11.1 fixed a problem with parameters or options inside PARMSETS used in SUMMARIZE.
by TomDoan
Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:33 pm
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: garchmvbootstrap.rpf
Replies: 53
Views: 50061

Re: garchmvbootstrap.rpf

Compute the percentage of draws that are on the wrong side of the hypothesized alpha.

sstats(mean) 1 ndraws (alphahatDist>alpha)>>pctover (alphadataDist<alpha)>>pctunder

whichever of pctover and pctunder is appropriate. See the first example in the description of SSTATS.
by TomDoan
Sat Jan 24, 2026 12:16 pm
Forum: State Space Models/DSGE
Topic: a question about the smoothness of the trend
Replies: 8
Views: 13203

Re: a question about the smoothness of the trend

If you put it in the Z (as a addition to the trend state), then it will accumulate in the state (it will be an innovational shift) while you seem to be describing it as a additive shift.
by TomDoan
Sat Jan 24, 2026 11:06 am
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: garchmvbootstrap.rpf
Replies: 53
Views: 50061

Re: garchmvbootstrap.rpf

No. You're not bootstrapping to get an estimate of alpha; the mean across bootstrap samples should be roughly the same as the mean of the data. Instead, you're bootstrapping to get the sampling distribution and to compare that to the assumed value of alpha. So you want to count the percentage of tim...
by TomDoan
Sat Jan 24, 2026 8:12 am
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: garchmvbootstrap.rpf
Replies: 53
Views: 50061

Re: garchmvbootstrap.rpf

No. That's a different type of bootstrap (which is bootstrapping data under the null). You need to compare the results with the assumed value of alpha.
by TomDoan
Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:31 pm
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: UV garch model forecasts
Replies: 95
Views: 2257109

Re: UV garch model forecasts

The series are correct; the display in the Series window isn't. The Series window was designed for displaying information with standard dates (it was originally for displaying RATS data files) and wasn't adapted to mapped dates, which require a separate "time series" of information with t...
by TomDoan
Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:06 pm
Forum: Data: Reading, Writing, Transforming
Topic: OECD Data Browser
Replies: 10
Views: 36205

OECD Data Browser

Version 11.1 has fixed the OECD MEI Download operation, but it only works on 64-bit Pro versions of the software. The OECD put a "throttle" that limits the number of accesses from a given IP address to 20 per hour, which forces downloading data in huge chunks (i.e. all countries, not just ...
by TomDoan
Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:01 pm
Forum: Forum Announcements
Topic: RATS Version 11.1
Replies: 0
Views: 1430979

RATS Version 11.1

RATS Version 11.1 is now available. The main changes (compared with 10.1) are: A new "Project" file format which groups program, data and source files (and, if desired, graphs, output files and reports) into a single file. Support for dark/high-contrast view modes Penalized least squares f...
by TomDoan
Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:01 pm
Forum: Course Announcements
Topic: Panel and Grouped Data E-Course Materials
Replies: 0
Views: 75839

Panel and Grouped Data E-Course Materials

The course materials from our e-course on Panel and Grouped Data are available for download. The course materials package includes a 195 page PDF e-book, along with the accompanying example programs, sample data files, and procedures. These are included in the "Other Resources" on RATS dis...
by TomDoan
Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:55 pm
Forum: Course Announcements
Topic: Bayesian Econometrics E-Course Materials
Replies: 0
Views: 84564

Bayesian Econometrics E-Course Materials

This course covers the most important methods now used in Bayesian analysis in econometrics, including Gibbs sampling, Metropolis-Hastings and importance sampling. The applications are to a broad range of topics, including time series, cross-section and panel data. It includes a PDF handbook contain...
by TomDoan
Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:43 pm
Forum: Course Announcements
Topic: Structural Breaks and Switching Models E-course, 2nd ed
Replies: 0
Views: 88208

Structural Breaks and Switching Models E-course, 2nd ed

The Structural Breaks and Switching Models e-course has been updated to a 2nd edition. It treats a broad range of subjects, including tests for structural breaks and threshold effects, and estimation of threshold autoregression (TAR) and smooth transition (STAR) models. More than half the course is ...
by TomDoan
Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:41 pm
Forum: Course Announcements
Topic: VAR E-Course Materials (2nd Edition)
Replies: 0
Views: 280927

VAR E-Course Materials (2nd Edition)

The course materials from our e-course on Vector Autoregressions has been updated to a 2nd edition. The course covers identifying and estimating VAR models, computing impulse responses and variance decompositions, historical decomposition and counterfactual simulations, structural and semi-structura...
by TomDoan
Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:39 pm
Forum: Course Announcements
Topic: State Space/DSGE E-Course Materials (2nd edition)
Replies: 0
Views: 230570

State Space/DSGE E-Course Materials (2nd edition)

The course materials from our e-course on State-Space and DSGE Models have been updated to a 2nd edition. The course materials include a 310 page PDF e-book, along with the accompanying example programs, sample data files, and procedures. These are included in the "Other Resources" on RATS...