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irregular component of seasonal model?

Posted: Fri May 03, 2013 12:01 am
by hardmann
dear Tom:

In local level model with seasonal, the measurement equation is: yt=ut+rt+et. While calculating measuring error or irregular component is et = y- level, why does not et = y- level -seasonal. I found that in commandeur& koopman(2007) chart4_inflation and chart4_UK_data

hardmann

Re: irregular component of seasonal model?

Posted: Fri May 03, 2013 9:39 am
by TomDoan
hardmann wrote:dear Tom:

In local level model with seasonal, the measurement equation is: yt=ut+rt+et. While calculating measuring error or irregular component is et = y- level, why does not et = y- level -seasonal. I found that in commandeur& koopman(2007) chart4_inflation and chart4_UK_data

hardmann
You're correct. Those should both have:

set level = xstates(t)(1)
set seasonal = xstates(t)(2)
set fitted = %dot(c,xstates)
set irreg = ukinflation-fitted