Causality Tests
Posted: Wed Aug 28, 2019 12:08 pm
Dear Tom,TomDoan wrote: %MODELLARGESTROOT(mdl) gives the largest root, which is generally all you need. If you really want all the eigenvalues (there are a lot of them!!) you have to get the companion matrix (%MODELCOMPANION function) and use the EIGEN instruction. Note that there will typically be a fair number of complex eigenvalues, so you need to get the complex versions of the eigen values (CVALUES option on EIGEN). See https://estima.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=726.
Thanks for your careful explanation. The value of the largest root would be somehow enough in my case.
According to the outcome of VAR test, I still have a few little puzzles
1、Is it that the F-test as below shows the causality relationship between two variables; for example, RDJI granger cause RFTSE meanwhile RSH failed to granger cause RFTSE ?
2、Does the causality relationship between two variables here take the effect of other variables of this VAR into consideration, which becomes the main difference with Granger–Sims causality ? Since they are all bilateral relationships.
3、Is it possible to obtain too the F-test result of VAR during the VAR-GARCH model since it looks like not showing.
Dependent Variable RFTSE
Mean of Dependent Variable 0.0173550020
Std Error of Dependent Variable 1.1930008799
Standard Error of Estimate 1.1408177200
Sum of Squared Residuals 7725.4966575
Durbin-Watson Statistic 2.0012
Variable Coeff Std Error T-Stat Signif
************************************************************************************
1. RDJI{1} 0.363121540 0.015955964 22.75773 0.00000000
2. RDJI{2} 0.029389282 0.017387165 1.69029 0.09102575
3. RDJI{3} -0.012993935 0.016960487 -0.76613 0.44362951
4. RSH{1} 0.001405407 0.006071609 0.23147 0.81695618
5. RSH{2} 0.000040871 0.006073049 0.00673 0.99463054
6. RSH{3} -0.006817941 0.006065957 -1.12397 0.26107213
7. RN225{1} -0.042158014 0.010655595 -3.95642 0.00007697
8. RN225{2} -0.023375236 0.010741682 -2.17612 0.02958527
9. RN225{3} -0.008070324 0.010137543 -0.79608 0.42601571
10. RFTSE{1} -0.192190637 0.016439594 -11.69072 0.00000000
11. RFTSE{2} -0.038710721 0.016856339 -2.29651 0.02168150
12. RFTSE{3} -0.007968455 0.016096631 -0.49504 0.62059112
F-Tests, Dependent Variable RFTSE
Variable F-Statistic Signif
*******************************************************
RDJI 177.4119 0.0000000
RSH 0.4317 0.7302714
RN225 6.3087 0.0002871
RFTSE 45.5783 0.0000000
Thank you very much!
Bill