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How can SSF model estimation be considered successful?

Posted: Sat Aug 03, 2024 8:19 am
by hardmann
Dear Tom:

If my state space equation model does not converge, but the t-value of the estimated state is significant and the result is reasonable and meets expectations, can the model estimation be considered successful?

Best Regard
Hardmann

Re: How can SSF model estimation be considered successful?

Posted: Sun Aug 04, 2024 4:47 pm
by TomDoan
I'm not sure what you mean by the "t-value of the estimated state".

Quite a few state-space models have border solutions which are "valid" but indicate that you may have more fundamental shocks than necessary. Those can manifest in zero variances or + or -1 correlations. If you look at a number of the state-space model examples, the final estimates require pegging a parameter or two, which is done because the completely free model doesn't converge.