Scenario Analysis
Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 3:54 am
Hi Tom,
A general question regarding SCENARIO analysis in RATS.
Given the recent market turmoil w.r.t. TRUMP's TARIFFS (in DONALD TRUMP's inaugural address, on 20th Jan 2025, he promises to: “tariff and tax foreign countries to enrich our citizens”), what methods/models (univariate and multivariate) are most appropriate for SCENARIO analysis, and subsequent effect on TOOS forecasts, regarding financial/macro variables?
Amarjit
A general question regarding SCENARIO analysis in RATS.
Given the recent market turmoil w.r.t. TRUMP's TARIFFS (in DONALD TRUMP's inaugural address, on 20th Jan 2025, he promises to: “tariff and tax foreign countries to enrich our citizens”), what methods/models (univariate and multivariate) are most appropriate for SCENARIO analysis, and subsequent effect on TOOS forecasts, regarding financial/macro variables?
Amarjit