Search found 8 matches
- Thu Dec 27, 2012 8:09 am
- Forum: Looking for Code?
- Topic: Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model w
- Replies: 0
- Views: 4512
Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model w
Dear Tom, I have a question, has anyone tried to replicate this work of Todd Clark?. This seems to be done in RATS, so far at least I have not found anything in the forum like this that use Bayesian methods with mixed frequency models and stochastic volatility. Best regards, and thanks in advance Ca...
- Mon Dec 19, 2011 9:51 pm
- Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
- Topic: Giacomini-White test
- Replies: 3
- Views: 6877
Re: Giacomini-White test
Tom, thank you very much for the answer, I think it happens only under some circumstances that GW seems DM, but the main point of the test is that it only works with a fixed window, that make it not useful . In my case I have recursive pseudo real-time forecasts in a VAR's compared against some ARIM...
- Sat Dec 17, 2011 8:33 am
- Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
- Topic: Giacomini-White test
- Replies: 3
- Views: 6877
Giacomini-White test
Tom, there is some version of the Giacomini-White test in RATS?.
Best regards.
W
Best regards.
W
- Tue Sep 27, 2011 7:55 am
- Forum: Examples and Sample Code
- Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
- Replies: 87
- Views: 161246
Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Tom, sorry but I have a new question, when I change the numbers of lags in the VAR I have this error in this part of the code, maximize(trace,start=%%garchinit(),pmethod=simplex,piters=5,iters=500) garchmlogl gstart gend ## MAT13. Store into Out-of-Range Matrix or Series Element How I can fix this p...
- Fri Mar 25, 2011 1:44 pm
- Forum: RATS Procedures
- Topic: DMARIANO—Diebold-Mariano test
- Replies: 39
- Views: 83592
Re: DMARIANO - revision of Diebold-Mariano procedure
Tom, for the Granger-Newbold forecast comparison test, for compare forecast 12 steps ahead, the syntax is the same?.
@GNewbold(lags=11) GDP naive12 M1P12
Regards
W
@GNewbold(lags=11) GDP naive12 M1P12
Regards
W
- Fri Mar 25, 2011 12:45 pm
- Forum: RATS Procedures
- Topic: DMARIANO—Diebold-Mariano test
- Replies: 39
- Views: 83592
Re: DMARIANO - revision of Diebold-Mariano procedure
Tom, thanks very much for the quick reply. Another more basic question. When I compare forecast for 12 steps ahead. The correct is to put lags, like this
@dmariano(lags=11) GDP naive12 M1P12
Or this is not necessary?
@dmariano(lags=11) GDP naive12 M1P12
Or this is not necessary?
- Fri Mar 25, 2011 12:21 pm
- Forum: RATS Procedures
- Topic: DMARIANO—Diebold-Mariano test
- Replies: 39
- Views: 83592
Re: DMARIANO - revision of Diebold-Mariano procedure
Tom, I have a question about how to interpret the results of Diebold and Mariano test. Diebold-Mariano Forecast Comparison Test Forecasts of X1 over 2006:01 to 2010:12 Forecast MSE Test Stat P(DM>x) NAIVE1 5.66636695 1.0928 0.13724 M1P1 3.94101250 -1.0928 0.86276 Here in the first line H0) NAIVE1 = ...
- Mon Aug 02, 2010 3:16 pm
- Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
- Topic: How one SD shock can be converted into percentage shock
- Replies: 24
- Views: 37314
Re: How one SD shock can be converted into percentage shock
Tom, one question. If I use factor=%identity(nvar) inside a bootstrap o MH, I have the impression that the impulse response I get from the Cholesky, not the one that come from cvmodel, is it?. Is there other way to standardize all shocks to unit?.