Search found 8 matches

by TWG
Thu Dec 27, 2012 8:09 am
Forum: Looking for Code?
Topic: Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model w
Replies: 0
Views: 4512

Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model w

Dear Tom, I have a question, has anyone tried to replicate this work of Todd Clark?. This seems to be done in RATS, so far at least I have not found anything in the forum like this that use Bayesian methods with mixed frequency models and stochastic volatility. Best regards, and thanks in advance Ca...
by TWG
Mon Dec 19, 2011 9:51 pm
Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
Topic: Giacomini-White test
Replies: 3
Views: 6877

Re: Giacomini-White test

Tom, thank you very much for the answer, I think it happens only under some circumstances that GW seems DM, but the main point of the test is that it only works with a fixed window, that make it not useful . In my case I have recursive pseudo real-time forecasts in a VAR's compared against some ARIM...
by TWG
Sat Dec 17, 2011 8:33 am
Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
Topic: Giacomini-White test
Replies: 3
Views: 6877

Giacomini-White test

Tom, there is some version of the Giacomini-White test in RATS?.

Best regards.

W
by TWG
Tue Sep 27, 2011 7:55 am
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 161246

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

Tom, sorry but I have a new question, when I change the numbers of lags in the VAR I have this error in this part of the code, maximize(trace,start=%%garchinit(),pmethod=simplex,piters=5,iters=500) garchmlogl gstart gend ## MAT13. Store into Out-of-Range Matrix or Series Element How I can fix this p...
by TWG
Fri Mar 25, 2011 1:44 pm
Forum: RATS Procedures
Topic: DMARIANO—Diebold-Mariano test
Replies: 39
Views: 83592

Re: DMARIANO - revision of Diebold-Mariano procedure

Tom, for the Granger-Newbold forecast comparison test, for compare forecast 12 steps ahead, the syntax is the same?.

@GNewbold(lags=11) GDP naive12 M1P12


Regards

W
by TWG
Fri Mar 25, 2011 12:45 pm
Forum: RATS Procedures
Topic: DMARIANO—Diebold-Mariano test
Replies: 39
Views: 83592

Re: DMARIANO - revision of Diebold-Mariano procedure

Tom, thanks very much for the quick reply. Another more basic question. When I compare forecast for 12 steps ahead. The correct is to put lags, like this

@dmariano(lags=11) GDP naive12 M1P12

Or this is not necessary?
by TWG
Fri Mar 25, 2011 12:21 pm
Forum: RATS Procedures
Topic: DMARIANO—Diebold-Mariano test
Replies: 39
Views: 83592

Re: DMARIANO - revision of Diebold-Mariano procedure

Tom, I have a question about how to interpret the results of Diebold and Mariano test. Diebold-Mariano Forecast Comparison Test Forecasts of X1 over 2006:01 to 2010:12 Forecast MSE Test Stat P(DM>x) NAIVE1 5.66636695 1.0928 0.13724 M1P1 3.94101250 -1.0928 0.86276 Here in the first line H0) NAIVE1 = ...
by TWG
Mon Aug 02, 2010 3:16 pm
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: How one SD shock can be converted into percentage shock
Replies: 24
Views: 37314

Re: How one SD shock can be converted into percentage shock

Tom, one question. If I use factor=%identity(nvar) inside a bootstrap o MH, I have the impression that the impulse response I get from the Cholesky, not the one that come from cvmodel, is it?. Is there other way to standardize all shocks to unit?.