Search found 20 matches

by miao
Wed Nov 27, 2013 7:40 pm
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 159402

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

Hi, Tom,

Sorry I am a little new to RATS.
Could you give the codes that produce the estimation results for the corresponding SVAR model (estimator, standard deviation, T, p-value)?

Thanks,

Miao
by miao
Wed Nov 27, 2013 2:54 am
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 159402

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

How could we see the estimation results for the corresponding SVAR model without GARCH? Thanks,
Miao
by miao
Wed Nov 27, 2013 2:00 am
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 159402

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

Hi Tom, In March 2013 I asked about the correct expansion of the model. However I think this could be wrong. I feel that this is the correct expansion of the model: BVEC(1)(*)'s correspond to the oil equation, while B(2)(*) correspond to the GDP equation, and y1=Oil price change y2=GDP growth y1(t)=...
by miao
Tue Sep 03, 2013 8:50 pm
Forum: RATS Procedures
Topic: MVQSTAT—multivariate Q statistic
Replies: 10
Views: 28526

Re: MVQSTAT - multivariate Q statistic

Thanks for your reply, Tom. How could the program be modified so that it produces the whole series of the residuals and the series are available in View --> Series Window --> VX? Sorry that I am a new to RATS, and the only related line I find in the program is frml garchmlogl = hhv=SVARHVMatrix(t),s...
by miao
Thu Aug 29, 2013 9:40 pm
Forum: RATS Procedures
Topic: MVQSTAT—multivariate Q statistic
Replies: 10
Views: 28526

Re: MVQSTAT - multivariate Q statistic

Thanks. In the RATS program of Elder (2010) , should we test on the pair (U(1) , U(2))?
by miao
Thu Aug 29, 2013 8:12 pm
Forum: RATS Procedures
Topic: MVQSTAT—multivariate Q statistic
Replies: 10
Views: 28526

Re: MVQSTAT - multivariate Q statistic

Hi Tom, Thanks very much for your reply. Could we use this multivariate Q statistic to test the autocorrelation among the residuals in the GARCH-in-mean VAR (Elder 2010) with degree of freedom = k^2(h-p)=2^2(h-p), where p is the lag of the VAR structure of the model? In practice, do people just look...
by miao
Thu Aug 29, 2013 2:54 am
Forum: RATS Procedures
Topic: MVQSTAT—multivariate Q statistic
Replies: 10
Views: 28526

Re: MVQSTAT - multivariate Q statistic

Hi Tom, When testing autocorrelation of the residual via Portmanteau test, there seem to be two choices for the degree of freedom: k^2*h for a general model and k^2(h-p) for a VAR model, where k is the number of dimension, h is the max lag for autocorrelation and p is the lag for VAR. For example, i...
by miao
Tue Aug 20, 2013 2:02 am
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 159402

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

Hi Tom, Could the program be modified to compute the impulse response of GDP to oil price? I understand the problem " impulse response of GDP to oil price" may make little economic sense, but under a few circumstances we have two variables, one of which is "relatively" exogenous,...
by miao
Thu Aug 08, 2013 4:02 am
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 159402

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

Thanks for your reply, Tom.
In the the output time series, what do U(1) and U(2) represent? Thanks!
by miao
Tue Aug 06, 2013 3:03 am
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 159402

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

Sorry for confusing. I estimate a VAR (with 4 lags) first, and then transform it to an SVAR framework with B, where B is an lower triangular matrix with unit diagonal. In SVAR terminology, the model is an A-model, which means we left-multiply y by matrix A( in this example B, the lower triangular ma...
by miao
Mon Aug 05, 2013 3:14 am
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 159402

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

Hi Tom, Thank you very much for your reply. I attempt to use a SVAR model, which is pretty similar to the Elder 2010 model, for Elder 2010 data. I compare the IRF of SVAR (Response of GDP to oil shock) and the IRF (GDPTOPLUSNOM, GDPTOMINUSNOM) of Elder 2010 model. The trends look similar, but the ma...
by miao
Wed Jul 31, 2013 10:29 pm
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 159402

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

Hi Tom, I have questions about the variables. Could you check if I understand them correctly? 1. GDPTOPLUS :Response of GDP growth to Positive oil shock GDPTOMINUS : Response of GDP growth to Negative oil shock GDPTOPLUSNOM : Response of GDP growth to Positive oil shock without M effect GDPTOMINUSNO...
by miao
Wed Jul 03, 2013 10:38 pm
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 159402

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

Hi Tom, Thanks for your reply. I change the dataset and run the codes, but no convergence is obtained for nlags=1. However, I do have convergence for nlags=2. Is there anything I can modify in order to gain convergence for nlags=1? * The nlags is modified as follows * compute nlags=4 compute nlags=1...
by miao
Wed Jul 03, 2013 3:02 am
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 159402

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

Thank you very much, Tom. Everything works well with the latest file. I have one question regarding the memory used in RATS. When I let a rpf file run first after I opened RATS, I obtained some results. Then I ran other programs and came back to run the file that ran first, but the results were diff...
by miao
Tue Jul 02, 2013 3:31 am
Forum: Examples and Sample Code
Topic: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M
Replies: 87
Views: 159402

Re: Elder-Serletis(2010) VAR-GARCH-M

Hi Tom, Thanks for your reply. I believe that my data is ok. The basic thing I’d like to do is to investigate the impact of the conditional volatility of the first (relatively exogenous) variable on the second variable. Following your advice, I try to rescale the data and obtain the convergence. The...