Search found 11 matches

by garchrookie
Sat Aug 21, 2010 5:11 am
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: How to interpret the BEKK coefficients?
Replies: 0
Views: 4563

How to interpret the BEKK coefficients?

Let's say we have two series and estimate a BEKK-MGARCH model. Normally, researchers study the volatility spillover effect (from series 2 to series 1) by checking the coefficients A21. However, I think the A21 shows four relationships 1) How the square of lagged second shock affects the first varian...
by garchrookie
Sat Aug 21, 2010 4:47 am
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: Modify the variance equation in MGARCH
Replies: 0
Views: 4398

Modify the variance equation in MGARCH

GARCH(P=1,Q=1,MV=DCC,variances=varma) / R1 R2 The above code estimates the VARMA model suggested by Ling and McAleer (2003). In other words, each variance equation contains two lagged shocks and two lagged varainces. (Because the system has 2 series.) Case 1: I only want the two lagged shocks and th...
by garchrookie
Sat Aug 21, 2010 4:33 am
Forum: Help With Programming
Topic: "end xxx"
Replies: 1
Views: 6057

"end xxx"

Question 1

In the past, I started each RATS program with “end xxx”

But now, why the system shows the following error message?

## SX21. A END or } Here is Unneeded or Unexpected

Thanks a lot.
by garchrookie
Wed Mar 11, 2009 8:43 pm
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: Q0
Replies: 2
Views: 5890

Re: Q0

Thanks for your reply.

If this Q0 is the unconditional covariance matrix, how do I extract it?

It is not shown in the output.

Thanks in advance.
by garchrookie
Wed Mar 11, 2009 11:34 am
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: Q0
Replies: 2
Views: 5890

Q0

Let's say I have two series: x and y.

For DCC, the rho equation should be

Q_t = (1-a-b)Q0 + a*shock_x*shock_y + b* Q_t-1

Why the WinRATS does not show the Q0?

Or, this Q0 is exactly equivalent to the rho12 of CCC model?
by garchrookie
Tue Mar 10, 2009 10:35 am
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: xregressors, DCC, CC
Replies: 1
Views: 6246

xregressors, DCC, CC

I know: “When I add the xregressors option, the same set of regressors are included in all variance equations.” Let’s say I have two series x and y. However, if I have mv=DCC or mv=CC, and I add the “xregressors” option with a variable z. I understand the z variable will be added in both the varianc...
by garchrookie
Sun Mar 08, 2009 8:16 am
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: M-GARCH, Intercepts of Mean Equations = Sample means?
Replies: 1
Views: 7100

M-GARCH, Intercepts of Mean Equations = Sample means?

I have two series here: y1 and y2. Before I run the CCC-MGARCH, I calculate the summary statistics. As shown in the RATS output, both y1 and y2 have a positive mean. Statistics on Series LGRY1 Observations 4995 Sample Mean 0.000213 Variance 0.000130 Standard Error 0.011407 of Sample Mean 0.000161 t-...
by garchrookie
Tue Feb 10, 2009 12:25 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: VAR, Granger Causality and ARCH effects
Replies: 3
Views: 5979

VAR, Granger Causality and ARCH effects

Suppose I have the following VAR model with a lag of 3, then I can test the Granger-causality. y_t = A + a1 y_t-1 + a2 y_t-2 + a3 y_t-3 b1 x_t-1 + b2 x_t-2 + b3 x_t-3 + e1t x_t = B + c1 y_t-1 + c2 y_t-2 + c3 y_t-3 d1 x_t-1 + d2 x_t-2 + d3 x_t-3 + e2t A joint F-test of the significance of (b1,b2,b3) ...
by garchrookie
Thu Jan 29, 2009 3:03 am
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: Multi-collinearity in the the GARCH-X models?
Replies: 1
Views: 6567

Multi-collinearity in the the GARCH-X models?

Q1. Section of 12.1.5 of RATS User’s Guide suggest the ARCH-X and GARCH-X models. “Add regressors for the mean model and for the variance model” When we have these additional variables, do we need to check for the Multi-collinearity? That is, do we need to check whether the additional regressors are...
by garchrookie
Thu Jan 29, 2009 2:05 am
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: MGARCH: Do I impose restrictions manually?
Replies: 1
Views: 6509

MGARCH: Do I impose restrictions manually?

For MGARCH models, the time series textbooks state that we need to impose restrictions on the parameters to ensure the non-negativity of the conditional variances of the individual series. Do we need to impose these restrictions manually in WinRATS? Or, the WinRATS automatically impose the restricti...
by garchrookie
Thu Jan 29, 2009 1:50 am
Forum: ARCH and GARCH Models
Topic: In RATS, Any specification tests for GARCH and MGARCH?
Replies: 1
Views: 6409

In RATS, Any specification tests for GARCH and MGARCH?

In WinRATS, any specification test is provided for the GARCH model and the multivariate GARCH model?

Thanks a lot.
:D