VECM with mixed stationary and non-stationary series

Questions and discussions on Vector Autoregressions
TomDoan
Posts: 7814
Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

VECM with mixed stationary and non-stationary series

Unread post by TomDoan »

You would have to show me the system instructions that you used, but if set up correctly, that would do the draws and responses correctly.
ateeb
Posts: 65
Joined: Sat Mar 16, 2019 11:15 am

VECM with mixed stationary and non-stationary series

Unread post by ateeb »

linreg(define=ect1) logdebt
# logM1 logCPI

equation rect r
#

equation lsmect lsm
#

SYSTEM(MODEL=PK2MODEL)
VARIABLES logdebt logM1 logCPI logLSM r
LAGS 1
DET Constant du
ect ect1 lsmect rect
END(SYSTEM)
ESTIMATE 2003:07 2018:09
errors(model=PK2MODEL,results=errors,steps=48)

I await your response
TomDoan
Posts: 7814
Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

VECM with mixed stationary and non-stationary series

Unread post by TomDoan »

In ECT form, the LAGS should be 1 2. Other than that, it's fine.
ateeb
Posts: 65
Joined: Sat Mar 16, 2019 11:15 am

VECM with mixed stationary and non-stationary series

Unread post by ateeb »

The AIC has chosen 1 lag for the VAR therefore I used 1, so should i type 1 to 1?

Regards,

Thanks for quick responses
ateeb
Posts: 65
Joined: Sat Mar 16, 2019 11:15 am

VECM with mixed stationary and non-stationary series

Unread post by ateeb »

a final question regarding this method, the document says that estimate will automatically difference all the series, however I do not want it to difference log of LSM which is Industrial Production as well as the interest rate, so given the way it is written, would estimate understand that they should not be differenced?
TomDoan
Posts: 7814
Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

VECM with mixed stationary and non-stationary series

Unread post by TomDoan »

AIC in levels picks 1? Seems odd (it means there are no dynamics beyond the error corrections), but if that's what you got, then you would in fact do LAGS 1 only.
TomDoan
Posts: 7814
Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

VECM with mixed stationary and non-stationary series

Unread post by TomDoan »

ateeb wrote:a final question regarding this method, the document says that estimate will automatically difference all the series, however I do not want it to difference log of LSM which is Industrial Production as well as the interest rate, so given the way it is written, would estimate understand that they should not be differenced?
For a stationary variable, differences on differences plus the lagged dependent variable is identical to level on lagged levels.
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