P Matrix in MSVarSetup

Discussion of models with structural breaks or endogenous switching.
alexecon
Posts: 72
Joined: Fri Oct 30, 2015 12:16 pm

P Matrix in MSVarSetup

Unread post by alexecon »

Matrix P in MSVarSetup is a nstates-1 x nstates transition matrix. With three regimes, e.g., the procedure provides estimates and standard errors for the following:

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P=
(1,1) (1,2) (1,3)
(2,1) (2,2) (2,3)
Am I right that to get the nstates x nstates matrix, one needs to construct the last row as follows?

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(1-(1,1)-(2,1)) (1-(1,2)-(2,2)) (1-(1,3)-(2,3))


What about the standard errors, how can these be computed?
TomDoan
Posts: 7814
Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

Re: P Matrix in MSVarSetup

Unread post by TomDoan »

That's correct. You can use SUMMARIZE if you want to compute standard errors. See, for instance, the MHHP737.RPF example (Martin, Hurn and Harris textbook examples), which does a function of the transition probabilities in a 2 regime case.
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