Boostrap Near-VAR
Boostrap Near-VAR
Hi Tom,
In the users' guide, you mention the invalidity of MC procedures to produce IRFs as if it is a OLS full-VAR.
I wonder it's possible using bootstrap to generate error bands, isn't it? I do SVAR for a two-blocks model.
By doing so, I do not need GIBB sampling as you suggest in the UG 7.9 section.
So, within bootstrapping loop, I can do CVMODEL and IMPULSE to get IRFs, then run MCPROCESSIRF and MCGRAPHIRF.
Is it OK?
Many thanks,
In the users' guide, you mention the invalidity of MC procedures to produce IRFs as if it is a OLS full-VAR.
I wonder it's possible using bootstrap to generate error bands, isn't it? I do SVAR for a two-blocks model.
By doing so, I do not need GIBB sampling as you suggest in the UG 7.9 section.
So, within bootstrapping loop, I can do CVMODEL and IMPULSE to get IRFs, then run MCPROCESSIRF and MCGRAPHIRF.
Is it OK?
Many thanks,
Re: Boostrap Near-VAR
Hi Tom,
For Near-VAR, you tell us using SUR, so Kilian-Bootstrap correction is correct, isn't it?
Because if I just estimate A-B model, I do not need re-estimate VAR within the loop with Kilian BS.
That is I call VCV to re-compute %sigma from residuals generated by KilianBootDraw. However, since Near-VAR is estimated by SUR but Kilian correct OLS bias. I am not sure whether Kilian BS is correct or not as there are two different estimators (SUR vs OLS).
Should I only use standard bootstrap instead the Kilian BS? Thus, I'll do SUR within the loop. Is it right?
Many thanks,
For Near-VAR, you tell us using SUR, so Kilian-Bootstrap correction is correct, isn't it?
Because if I just estimate A-B model, I do not need re-estimate VAR within the loop with Kilian BS.
That is I call VCV to re-compute %sigma from residuals generated by KilianBootDraw. However, since Near-VAR is estimated by SUR but Kilian correct OLS bias. I am not sure whether Kilian BS is correct or not as there are two different estimators (SUR vs OLS).
Should I only use standard bootstrap instead the Kilian BS? Thus, I'll do SUR within the loop. Is it right?
Many thanks,
Re: Boostrap Near-VAR
Kilian's correction would still apply---SUR will have the same type of small-sample bias as OLS.